Remember the movie The Sting with Robert Redford and Paul Newman where they set up an elaborate betting parlor to set up a sucker for a big bet? Well that is what the Congressional Hispanic Caucus and the Banking industry did to the Hispanic community in the United States.
You think I am overstating this, think again. I have excerpted a part of the Wall Street Journal’s investigation into this collusion with an amazing article. It shows how the subprime lenders and the desire of the Hispanic Black Caucus set Hispanics up in bad loans that were barely sustainable in good times and down right toxic when the economy turned south.
And do not be surprised when you hear the politicians screaming about the lenders putting these people into subprime loans. The lenders were just following directions!
The Congressional Hispanic Caucus created Hogar in 2003 to work with industry and community groups to increase mortgage lending to Latinos. At that time, the national Latino homeownership rate was 47%, compared with 68% for the overall population. Hogar called the figure “alarming,” and said a concerted effort was required to ensure that “by the end of the decade Latinos will share equally in the American Dream of homeownership.”
Hogar’s backers included many companies that ran into trouble in mortgage markets: Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, both now under federal control; Countrywide Financial Corp., sold last year to Bank of America Corp.; Washington Mutual Inc., taken over by the government and sold to J.P. Morgan Chase & Co.; and New Century Financial Corp. and Ameriquest Mortgage Corp., both now defunct.
Hogar’s ties to the subprime industry were substantial. A Washington Mutual vice president served as chairman of its advisory committee. Companies that donated $150,000 a year got the right to place a research fellow who would conduct Hogar’s studies, which were used by industry lobbyists. For donations of $100,000 a year, Hogar offered to provide news releases from the Hispanic Caucus promoting a lender’s commercial products for the Latino market, according to the group’s literature.
Read the whole article at WSJ.com.
The floodgates are open and every businessman and woman who has made a bad business decision is now clamoring for a federal bailout. The commercial real estate industry, you remember the one that saw property values increase by double digits for a number of years, is now saying a 15 – 20 percent downturn is going to wreck the economy.
The prospect bodes ill for banks, along with pension funds, insurance companies, hedge funds and others holding the loans or pieces of them that were packaged and sold as securities.
Jeffrey DeBoer, chief executive of the Real Estate Roundtable, a lobbying group in Washington, is asking for government assistance for his industry and warns of the potential impact of defaults. “Each one by itself is not significant,” he said, “but the cumulative effect will put tremendous stress on the financial sector.” via NYTimes.com.
Seriously, any downturn hurts, but when prices soar to levels that can not make leasing profitable for the landlords, then there is a whole lot of stupidity going on. But the extra profit that these folks made on over-leveraging is yesterdays news when it comes to the chance to cry poverty and get a bailout from the Federal government.
What ever happened to the mantra, sock away a little extra for a rainy day?
While real estate agents had lots of time for Christmas shopping this year, mortgage brokers probably gave lots of gift cards as mortgage activity reached a 5 year high.
With the historically low rates and consumers watching every penny, refinancing was the word on the street.
Now we can hope that some of this activity translates to home sales as the great prognosticators in Washington have predicted.
The Mortgage Bankers Association said Wednesday its weekly application index was essentially unchanged for the week ending Dec. 26. The index came in at 1245.7 from 1245.4 a week earlier. Applications surged earlier this month to the highest level since July 2003, when refinancing activity boomed at the peak of the housing market.
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More than 80 percent of applications came from borrowers looking to refinance at more affordable rates, the trade group said. Refinance volume dipped by 0.4 percent, while purchase volume rose 1.4 percent. via msnbc.com.
Here are some stats for those who are interested in these things. (and also for me to find in the future.)
It was a good year.
823 Thousand Visitors
1.4 Million Page Views
Over 1100 RSS Readers
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2008 was a great year for The Real Estate Bloggers.
And I owe it all to you.
Thanks Readers!
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After the rough couple of years for real estate agents and firms, is consolidation the name of the game for 2009? It is for agents and brokers at Prudential First Properties and Hunt Real Estate Corp in Upstate New York.
Hunt Real Estate has 85 agents affiliated with its two residential real estate offices in the Syracuse area. Prudential First Properties has eight offices and 322 agents. Hunt also has a commercial real estate division in Liverpool.
Hunt said his company was attracted to Prudential First Properties, already the largest company in the market, out of a long-held respect for its owner, Tom Teelin, his family and the work force they’ve assembled over the years.
Given the economy and the real estate market, it made sense to find ways for both real estate companies to work together, Hunt said. via syracuse.com.
The pressure that individual agents are feeling is magnified by the brokerages right now. They need to have a certain amount of sales to keep the lights on and pay the back of the house people.
With the slowdown expect to see many such mergers on the horizon as firms find ways to survive the slowdown, reduce costs, and provide needed services.
The Case Shiller report for October, 2008 has been released and as expected the numbers look rough. With the credit crisis in full swing in October and the traditional housing selling season over, sellers that did sell took it on the chin in the 20 metro markets Case Shiller analyzes.
What is interesting to me is that for some markets the decline in the last month is almost the complete decline for the past year. Charlotte lost 3.38% between September and October but only lost 4.45% for the year. Dallas was down 2.39% and 3.04% for the same periods.
The credit crunch is the next wave of pain for home sellers and it is being felt in areas that previously had been immune to pain.
Case Shiller Index For October 2008
City Year 6 months 1 Month
Phoenix -32.65% -27.15 -5.61
Los Angeles -27.93% -23.63 -5.72
San Diego -26.68% -22.44 -6.00
San Francisco -30.98% -26.19 -7.09
Denver -5.17% -0.44 -2.91
Washington -18.74% -17.4 -6.07
Miami -29.03% -28 -6.30
Tampa -19.84% -14.06 -6.80
Atlanta -10.53% -4.85 -3.94
Chicago -10.81% -5.94 -3.35
Boston -6.00% -0.51 -2.81
Detroit -20.39% -8.66 -5.07
Minneapolis -16.29% -4.73 -5.76
Charlotte -4.45% -4.79 -3.38
Las Vegas -31.68% -24.32 -5.01
New York -7.53% -5.69 -2.74
Cleveland -6.18% -1.79 -2.11
Portland -10.08% -9.43 -4.23
Dallas -3.04% -0.78 -2.39
Seattle -10.22% -10.12 -3.39
It looks like that there will be a great deal of downward pressure on retail landlords in the coming year. Combining a downturn in retail sales that is expected to see 73,000 stores closing in the first half of 2009 and the amount of shopping center inventory coming online rents are expected to be driven down in the coming months.
Like their residential brethren, the commercial landlords will need to be tightening their belts in the coming months.
Retailers may close 73,000 stores in the first half of 2009, according to the International Council of Shopping Centers. Talbots Inc. and Sears Holdings Corp. are among chains shuttering underperforming locations.
More than a dozen retailers, including Circuit City Stores Inc., Linens ‘n Things Inc., Sharper Image Corp. and Steve & Barry’s LLC, have sought bankruptcy protection this year as the credit squeeze and recession drained sales. Investors will start seeing a wide variety of chains seeking bankruptcy protection in February when they file financial reports, said Burt Flickinger. via Bloomberg.com
The idea that ones home needs to be a drafty place with a heater running all winter is being challenged in Germany with the advent of the Passive House. With no heater the home acts as a heat exchanger and keeps most of the heat that is generated in the home in the home.
I know that with all of the computers running in our house if one could cut out the drafts we never would have to turn on our heater.
From the outside, there is nothing unusual about the stylish new gray and orange row houses in the Kranichstein District, with wreaths on the doors and Christmas lights twinkling through a freezing drizzle. But these houses are part of a revolution in building design: There are no drafts, no cold tile floors, no snuggling under blankets until the furnace kicks in. There is, in fact, no furnace.
In Berthold Kaufmann’s home, there is, to be fair, one radiator for emergency backup in the living room — but it is not in use. Even on the coldest nights in central Germany, Mr. Kaufmann’s new “passive house” and others of this design get all the heat and hot water they need from the amount of energy that would be needed to run a hair dryer.
The concept of the passive house, pioneered in this city of 140,000 outside Frankfurt, approaches the challenge from a different angle. Using ultrathick insulation and complex doors and windows, the architect engineers a home encased in an airtight shell, so that barely any heat escapes and barely any cold seeps in. That means a passive house can be warmed not only by the sun, but also by the heat from appliances and even from occupants’ bodies…
My biggest concern as I cope with asthma is the buildup of mold and overall bad air. This paragraph makes me feel much better about the concept.
Decades ago, attempts at creating sealed solar-heated homes failed, because of stagnant air and mold. But new passive houses use an ingenious central ventilation system. The warm air going out passes side by side with clean, cold air coming in, exchanging heat with 90 percent efficiency. NYTimes.com.
Nature abhors a vacuum. As foreclosures in central California multiply a new creature has moved in. Arriving with pumps they clean out the pools of homes that have been left empty and turn them into skateparks.
This is not so bad as one would think. In the past the problem with empty homes in the region were pools that became stagnant and allowed disease carrying mosquito’s to run rampant. Now with municipal cutbacks in California due to the budget deficit the city should work out a deal.
Perhaps this modest proposal could help. Instead of sending out a city crew to drain the pool the city would send out a bunch of skaters. They would clear out the pool and then be allowed to skate on it for the next day. Instead of running the risk of trespassing charges being filed against the skaters, they could be providing a service. The homeowner, or bank, would not have to worry about paying a ticket, they instead would take the risk of any damage to the pool.
A win-win in my book.
In these boom times for skaters, Mr. Peacock travels with a gas-powered pump, five-gallon buckets, shovels and a push broom, risking trespassing charges in the pursuit of emptying forlorn pools and turning them into de facto skate parks.
“We can just hit them back to back,” said Mr. Peacock, who preferred to give his skateboarding name because of the illegality of his activities.
Skaters are coming to places like Fresno from as far as Germany and Australia. Mr. Peacock said his floor and couch were covered by sleeping bags of visiting skateboarders each weekend.
Some skateboarders use realty tracking sites like realquest.com and realtor.com to find foreclosed houses with pools, while others trawl through satellite images from Google Earth. On the Web site skateandannoy.com, where skaters trade tips about how to find and drain abandoned pools, one poster wrote about the current economic malaise. “God bless Greenspan,” the post read, “patron saint of pool skatin’.” via NYTimes.com.